Published: Tue, May 29, 2018
Science | By

Adam Burniston's Forecast | Tropical rains move into the forecast

Adam Burniston's Forecast | Tropical rains move into the forecast

Subtropical Storm Alberto headed toward anticipated landfall sometime Monday on the northern Gulf Coast, where white sandy beaches emptied of their usual Memorial Day crowds.

Alberto got an early jump on the 2018 hurricane season, which doesn't officially start until Friday. But this is nature.

You can see live weather updates via the National Weather Service and other Twitter sources below.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami said Monday, in an advisory released at about 2 p.m. EDT, that the storm was centered around 30 miles (50 kilometers) south-southwest of Panama City, Florida.

Residents in the western portion of the county can expect sustained winds of 20 to 30 miles an hour with gusts up to 40 miles an hour-mainly along the USA 19 and Little Road corridors-beginning early this afternoon into the early overnight hours Monday.

Tropical storm warnings are in effect from the Mississippi/Alabama border all the way through to Bonita Beach, Florida.

Thousands of Florida residents evacuated their homes today as Subtropical Storm Alberto drove north through the Gulf of Mexico with forecasters saying it could bring "life-threatening inundation" to southern coastal states.


On the forecast track, the center of Alberto will move over the northern Gulf of Mexico Sunday night and approach the northern Gulf Coast in the warning area on Monday. Just because it's "nice and sunny" after the storm passes, Medlin says there's still a risk for swimmers.

It's also worth pointing out that extremely heavy rain continues to fall over Cuba from a trailing moisture plume ... this is the fifth consecutive day. High near 82. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 miles per hour, with gusts as high as 30 miles per hour.

Florida Governor Rick Scott issued the declaration for all 67 counties in his state.

Continuing on its northward trajectory, Alberto could hit the Florida panhandle Sunday evening or Monday morning, according to AccuWeather. Storm surge flooding was less of a concern because Alberto's arrival would not coincide with high tide, he said. "Alberto might cause a couple hundred million in damage at worst when it does make landfall, and there is still flooding potential". And in the Tampa Bay area on the central Gulf Coast, cities offered sandbags for homeowners anxious about floods.

Rain chances remain high for most of the coming week, although there will be a slight diminishing of the rain possibilities as the tropical air mass finally moves north.

Hurricane season doesn't formally start until June 1. A Flood Watch continues for much of the holiday weekend.

As we head back to work on Tuesday, we increase those rain chances a little more.

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