Published: Wed, July 10, 2019
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Watching the Gulf for potential tropical development

Watching the Gulf for potential tropical development

The system is forecast to move southward to southwestward and emerge over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico later on Tuesday, the NHC said. But it does look like some tropical rain for us by the end of the week. Earlier this weekend, the hurricane center had given the system a lower chance of forming.

One forecast model's depiction of the tropical system by next Saturday morning.

The Category 5 Hurricane Michael made landfall October 10 in Mexico Beach and caused massive damage in parts of Northwest Florida such as Bay, Gulf, Calhoun, Liberty and Jackson counties. The most severe storms are likely to be in Wyoming, South Dakota and Nebraska, all of which could see damaging winds, hail or an isolated tornado.


After that, nearly all models have come into agreement the system will move west toward the Texas or Louisiana coast, according to CBS4 Chief Meteorologist Craig Setzer. This depression will continue slowly moving west through late week across the northern Gulf of Mexico, and should intensify into a tropical storm by Friday. In fact, the National Hurricane Center gives it an 80% chance of tropical development in the next 5 days. Each tropical threat can bring varying amounts of wind and water, so you need to be prepared either way. Instead the theory was that a surface boundary could linger over the area, setting off rain and storms periodically. None of the forecast models are calling for more than a tropical storm at landfall.

Stay tuned to our tropical updates at:21 after each hour on Spectrum News for the latest. However, regardless of whether Barry emerges, forecasters are still predicting a very wet week for Central Florida, with heavy rain chances in the next five days and high temperatures in the low 90s.

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