Published: Sun, October 18, 2020
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NOAA predicts warmer, drier winter for 2020 season

NOAA predicts warmer, drier winter for 2020 season

Will this winter be any different?

"With La Niña well established and expected to persist through the upcoming 2020 winter season, we anticipate the typical, cooler, wetter North, and warmer, drier South, as the most likely outcome of winter weather that the USA will experience this year While the country's northern tier of states, encompassing OR and Washington and running along the northern part of the country to MI, will see a wet winter, a large southern tier of states that runs coast-to-coast from California to North Carolina, will have a dry winter, It would be fair to say that the rest of the country will see fairly normal conditions".

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a report today outlining that the global temperature was 1.75 degrees Fahrenheit above the normal of 59 degrees F.

"While we favor colder than average conditions to west of the lakes, mainly from Western Minnesota westward, MI and the Great Lakes areas are kind of in-between", Halpert says.

NOAA says cooler ocean temperatures from La Niña will affect winter temperatures, precipitation levels, and drought conditions. In terms of whether precipitation will be higher or lower than normal, it's a toss-up.

Winter weather outlook 2020-2021

The Pacific cooling trend known as La Nina seems to point toward a warmer-than-normal winter for New Jersey, with a chance for wetter weather but no conclusions yet drawn on snowfall.

That follows a drought season which has mostly impacted the southern and western parts of the country and will extend a bit further still, but which itself is separate from the winter weather outlook.

"NOAA's timely and accurate seasonal outlooks and short-term forecasts are the result of improved satellite observations, more detailed computer forecast modeling, and expanding supercomputing capacity", Neil Jacobs, NOAA's acting administrator, said.

During the entire winter a year ago, the average amount of snow that fell across New Jersey was only 4.7 inches, which was more than 19 inches below normal, according to the office of State Climatologist David Robinson at Rutgers University.

The precipitation outlook for the winter of 2020-21 is the second image above.


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